L’École des cotes

Andrey Rublev v Ugo Humbert

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 15:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Prévision 63.36%1.58cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.740%
Kelly -2.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.07%63.28%63.66%65.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.511.521.5671.43%66.32%65.79%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ugo Humbert (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.64%2.73cote équitable
EV +0.754%
Avantage +0.274%
Kelly +0.431%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.94%36.72%36.34%38.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.542.502.7541.67%39.35%40.00%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.754%E +0.274%K +0.431%G +0.003%3.9%2026-02-25 15:10
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.08%E -0.399%K -0.634%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 15:10
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.59%E -3.75%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.54%E -0.956%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 15:10
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 15:06
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 14:59
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 15:10
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 15:09
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 15:08
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.76%E -6.08%K -19.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 15:09
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -1.79%E -1.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -4.01%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-25 14:59
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.01%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 15:10
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.59%E -3.75%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.38%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 14:59
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -7.49%E -5.13%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -4.38%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 15:10
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 15:10
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 15:10
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 15:10
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 15:09
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.76%E -6.08%K -19.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 14:59
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -11.29%E -8.07%K -28.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 15:08
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.15%E -0.740%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -7.31%E -2.89%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-25 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.15%E -0.740%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -7.31%E -2.89%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-25 15:10
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 14:59
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:09
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:08
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 15:09
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 14:59
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 15:10
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 14:59
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 15:10
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.32%E -2.86%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 15:10
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 15:10
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.24%E -4.18%K -7.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 15:10
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -10.97%E -4.51%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 15:09
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 15:10
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 14:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-02-25 15:10