Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Andrey Rublev v Ugo Humbert

Inizio: 2026-02-25 15:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Andrey Rublev (Casa)

Previsione 63.36%1.58quota equa
EV -1.15%
Vantaggio -0.740%
Kelly -2.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.07%63.28%63.66%65.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.511.521.5671.43%66.32%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Ugo Humbert (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.64%2.73quota equa
EV +0.754%
Vantaggio +0.274%
Kelly +0.431%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.94%36.72%36.34%38.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.542.502.7541.67%39.35%40.00%36.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Andrey Rublev (Casa): 63.36%; Ugo Humbert (Trasferta): 36.64%. Per Ugo Humbert (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.73. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.754%.

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.754%E +0.274%K +0.431%G +0.003%3.9%2026-02-25 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.08%E -0.399%K -0.634%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.59%E -3.75%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.54%E -0.956%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 15:10
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 15:06
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 15:10
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 15:09
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 15:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.76%E -6.08%K -19.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 15:09
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -1.79%E -1.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -4.01%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-25 14:59
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.01%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.59%E -3.75%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.38%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 14:59
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -7.49%E -5.13%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -4.38%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 15:10
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 15:10
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 15:10
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 15:09
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.76%E -6.08%K -19.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 14:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -11.29%E -8.07%K -28.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 15:08
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.15%E -0.740%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -7.31%E -2.89%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-25 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.15%E -0.740%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -7.31%E -2.89%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-25 15:10
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 14:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 15:08
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 15:09
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 14:59
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 14:59
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.32%E -2.86%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 15:10
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 15:10
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.24%E -4.18%K -7.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -10.97%E -4.51%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 15:10
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 15:09
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 15:10
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 14:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-02-25 15:10