La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Andrey Rublev v Ugo Humbert
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Predicción 63.36%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.740%
Kelly -2.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.07%63.28%63.66%65.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.511.521.5671.43%66.32%65.79%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ugo Humbert (Visitante)
Predicción 36.64%2.73momio equitativo
EV +0.754%
Ventaja +0.274%
Kelly +0.431%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.94%36.72%36.34%38.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.542.502.7541.67%39.35%40.00%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.754%E +0.274%K +0.431%G +0.003% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.08%E -0.399%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.59%E -3.75%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.54%E -0.956%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 15:06 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-25 15:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-25 15:08 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.76%E -6.08%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -2.91%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 15:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -1.79%E -1.15%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -4.01%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.01%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.59%E -3.75%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.38%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -7.49%E -5.13%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -4.38%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 15:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.76%E -6.08%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -11.29%E -8.07%K -28.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -6.57%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-25 15:08 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.15%E -0.740%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -7.31%E -2.89%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.15%E -0.740%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -7.31%E -2.89%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| GTbets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Casumo | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| betPARX | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.42%E -1.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 15:08 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 15:09 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.32%E -2.86%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.22%E -4.21%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Fliff | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.12%E -5.60%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.24%E -4.18%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -3.69%E -2.43%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -10.97%E -4.51%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.06%E -2.00%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 15:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.96%E -3.30%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 14:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-02-25 15:10 |