Language:English
Ugo Humbert v Michael Zheng
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Prediction 51.68%1.93fair odd
EV +0.267%
Edge +0.137%
Kelly +0.284%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.52%51.82%51.59%54.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.801.801.9459.17%55.43%55.56%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Michael Zheng (Visit)
Prediction 48.32%2.07fair odd
EV +2.43%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +2.17%
Growth +0.053%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.08%48.18%48.41%51.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.991.982.1255.56%50.29%50.38%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ugo Humbert (Local): 51.68%; Michael Zheng (Visit): 48.32%. For Michael Zheng (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +2.43%E +1.15%K +2.17%G +0.053% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +1.46%E +0.697%K +1.33%G +0.019% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.46%E +0.697%K +1.33%G +0.019% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -9.04%E -5.13%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -0.469%E -0.227%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -11.62%E -6.80%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -0.952%E -0.464%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -3.87%E -2.08%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -1.92%E -0.945%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.59%E -6.12%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 14:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -12.65%E -7.49%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -7.49%E -4.18%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.82%E -2.45%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.30%E -2.70%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 03:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.87%E -2.08%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:03 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 13:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 14:53 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.27%E -3.23%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.27%E -3.23%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.75%E -3.50%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 14:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV +0.267%E +0.137%K +0.284%G +0.001% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -9.17%E -4.88%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -0.767%E -0.400%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -9.17%E -4.88%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 12:48 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.82%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -10.13%E -5.45%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.28%E -0.672%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.28%E -0.672%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.03%E -7.24%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80% | 2.7% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |