Lingua:Italiano
Ugo Humbert v Michael Zheng
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Ugo Humbert (Casa)
Previsione 51.68%1.93quota equa
EV +0.267%
Vantaggio +0.137%
Kelly +0.284%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.52%51.82%51.59%54.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.691.801.801.9459.17%55.43%55.56%51.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Michael Zheng (Trasferta)
Previsione 48.32%2.07quota equa
EV +2.43%
Vantaggio +1.15%
Kelly +2.17%
Crescita +0.053%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.08%48.18%48.41%51.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.991.982.1255.56%50.29%50.38%47.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ugo Humbert (Casa): 51.68%; Michael Zheng (Trasferta): 48.32%. Per Michael Zheng (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.07. 17 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.12, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.43%.
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +2.43%E +1.15%K +2.17%G +0.053% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +1.46%E +0.697%K +1.33%G +0.019% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.46%E +0.697%K +1.33%G +0.019% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -9.04%E -5.13%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -0.469%E -0.227%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -11.62%E -6.80%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -0.952%E -0.464%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -3.87%E -2.08%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -1.92%E -0.945%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.59%E -6.12%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 14:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -12.65%E -7.49%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -7.49%E -4.18%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.82%E -2.45%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.30%E -2.70%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 03:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.87%E -2.08%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:03 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 13:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 14:53 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.27%E -3.23%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.27%E -3.23%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.75%E -3.50%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 14:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV +0.267%E +0.137%K +0.284%G +0.001% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -9.17%E -4.88%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -0.767%E -0.400%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -9.17%E -4.88%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 12:48 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.82%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -10.13%E -5.45%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.28%E -0.672%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.28%E -0.672%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.03%E -7.24%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80% | 2.7% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |