Idioma:Español
Ugo Humbert v Michael Zheng
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Predicción 51.68%1.93momio equitativo
EV +0.267%
Ventaja +0.137%
Kelly +0.284%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.52%51.82%51.59%54.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.691.801.801.9459.17%55.43%55.56%51.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Michael Zheng (Visitante)
Predicción 48.32%2.07momio equitativo
EV +2.43%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +2.17%
Crecimiento +0.053%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.08%48.18%48.41%51.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.991.982.1255.56%50.29%50.38%47.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Ugo Humbert (Local): 51.68%; Michael Zheng (Visitante): 48.32%. Para Michael Zheng (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.07. 17 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.12, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.43%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +2.43%E +1.15%K +2.17%G +0.053% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +1.46%E +0.697%K +1.33%G +0.019% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.46%E +0.697%K +1.33%G +0.019% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -9.04%E -5.13%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -0.469%E -0.227%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -11.62%E -6.80%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -0.952%E -0.464%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -3.87%E -2.08%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -1.92%E -0.945%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.59%E -6.12%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 14:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -12.65%E -7.49%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -7.49%E -4.18%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.82%E -2.45%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.30%E -2.70%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 03:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.87%E -2.08%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:03 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 13:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 14:53 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.27%E -3.23%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.27%E -3.23%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.75%E -3.50%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 14:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV +0.267%E +0.137%K +0.284%G +0.001% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -9.17%E -4.88%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -0.767%E -0.400%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -9.17%E -4.88%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 12:48 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.82%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -10.13%E -5.45%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.28%E -0.672%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.28%E -0.672%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.03%E -7.24%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80% | 2.7% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |