StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ugo Humbert v Michael Zheng

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 15:05 UTC

Slutresultat: Ugo Humbert 0–2 Michael Zheng

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ugo Humbert (Hemma)

Prognos 51.68%1.93rättvist odds
EV +0.267%
Fördel +0.137%
Kelly +0.284%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.94

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.52%51.82%51.59%54.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.691.801.801.9459.17%55.43%55.56%51.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Michael Zheng (Borta)

Prognos 48.32%2.07rättvist odds
EV +2.43%
Fördel +1.15%
Kelly +2.17%
Tillväxt +0.053%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.12

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.08%48.18%48.41%51.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.801.991.982.1255.56%50.29%50.38%47.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Ugo Humbert (Hemma): 51.68%; Michael Zheng (Borta): 48.32%. För Michael Zheng (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.07. 17 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.12, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.43%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +2.43%E +1.15%K +2.17%G +0.053%4.6%2026-08-16 14:54
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +1.46%E +0.697%K +1.33%G +0.019%3.2%2026-08-16 14:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.46%E +0.697%K +1.33%G +0.019%5.1%2026-08-16 14:54
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:55
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:55
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:55
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:55
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:55
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -9.04%E -5.13%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -0.469%E -0.227%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 14:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -11.62%E -6.80%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -0.952%E -0.464%K -0.906%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -3.87%E -2.08%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -1.92%E -0.945%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 14:59
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 14:39
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 14:49
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 14:48
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:39
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 15:04
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:39
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.59%E -6.12%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 14:40
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -12.65%E -7.49%K -18.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 15:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 14:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -7.49%E -4.18%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 15:04
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 14:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.82%E -2.45%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 14:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.30%E -2.70%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 14:59
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 03:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.87%E -2.08%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 14:59
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:04
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:04
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 15:03
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:04
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 14:59
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 15:00
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:04
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 14:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 14:39
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 13:45
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 14:53
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.27%E -3.23%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.27%E -3.23%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 14:39
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.75%E -3.50%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 15:00
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 14:48
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 14:39
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 14:39
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV +0.267%E +0.137%K +0.284%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -9.17%E -4.88%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:04
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -0.767%E -0.400%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -9.17%E -4.88%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 15:04
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 12:48
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.82%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -10.13%E -5.45%K -11.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.28%E -0.672%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:04
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.28%E -0.672%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.03%E -7.24%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 15:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-16 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-16 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-16 15:00
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-16 15:00
ProphetX◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-08-16 15:00
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-08-16 15:00
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-08-16 15:00