StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Ugo Humbert v Michael Zheng

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-16 15:05 UTC

Endstand: Ugo Humbert 0–2 Michael Zheng

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Ugo Humbert (Heim)

Prognose 51.68%1.93faire Quote
EV +0.267%
Vorteil +0.137%
Kelly +0.284%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.94

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
48.52%51.82%51.59%54.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.691.801.801.9459.17%55.43%55.56%51.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Michael Zheng (Auswärts)

Prognose 48.32%2.07faire Quote
EV +2.43%
Vorteil +1.15%
Kelly +2.17%
Wachstum +0.053%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.12

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
45.08%48.18%48.41%51.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.801.991.982.1255.56%50.29%50.38%47.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Ugo Humbert (Heim): 51.68%; Michael Zheng (Auswärts): 48.32%. Für Michael Zheng (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.07. 17 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.12 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.43%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +2.43%E +1.15%K +2.17%G +0.053%4.6%2026-08-16 14:54
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +1.46%E +0.697%K +1.33%G +0.019%3.2%2026-08-16 14:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +1.46%E +0.697%K +1.33%G +0.019%5.1%2026-08-16 14:54
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:55
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:55
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:55
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:55
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:55
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.498%E +0.239%K +0.461%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-16 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -9.04%E -5.13%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -0.469%E -0.227%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 14:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -11.62%E -6.80%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -0.952%E -0.464%K -0.906%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -3.87%E -2.08%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -1.92%E -0.945%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 14:59
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 14:39
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 14:49
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 14:48
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:39
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 15:04
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:39
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.59%E -6.12%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 14:40
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -12.65%E -7.49%K -18.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 15:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 14:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -7.49%E -4.18%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 15:04
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 14:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.82%E -2.45%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 14:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.30%E -2.70%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 14:59
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 03:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.87%E -2.08%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 14:59
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:04
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:04
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 15:03
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:04
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 14:59
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 15:00
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:04
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 14:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 14:39
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 13:45
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.78%E -2.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 14:53
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.27%E -3.23%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.27%E -3.23%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 14:39
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.75%E -3.50%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 15:00
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 14:48
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 14:39
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.72%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 14:39
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV +0.267%E +0.137%K +0.284%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -9.17%E -4.88%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:04
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -0.767%E -0.400%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -9.17%E -4.88%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 15:04
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 12:48
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.82%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -10.13%E -5.45%K -11.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.28%E -0.672%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:04
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.28%E -0.672%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.03%E -7.24%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 15:04
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-16 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-16 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-16 15:00
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-16 15:00
ProphetX◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-08-16 15:00
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-08-16 15:00
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-08-16 15:00