Language:English
Sho Shimabukuro v Hubert Hurkacz
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sho Shimabukuro (Local)
Prediction 25.67%3.90fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.309%
Kelly -0.417%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.30%25.75%25.62%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.683.703.8530.30%27.21%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hubert Hurkacz (Visit)
Prediction 74.33%1.35fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -11.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%74.25%74.38%75.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.281.281.3081.97%78.25%78.13%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sho Shimabukuro (Local): 25.67%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visit): 74.33%. For Sho Shimabukuro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -1.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -1.19%E -0.309%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-14 12:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.15%EV -1.44%E -0.376%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.85%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.581%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 08:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.31%E -7.63%K -42.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -2.98%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 14:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 13:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 08:36 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 14:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 08:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 05:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 07:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 07:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 11:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 11:18 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 12:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 14:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29% | 1.6% | 2026-08-14 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10% | 2.4% | 2026-08-14 14:55 |