Idioma:Español
Sho Shimabukuro v Hubert Hurkacz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sho Shimabukuro (Local)
Predicción 25.67%3.90momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.309%
Kelly -0.417%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.30%25.75%25.62%28.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.683.703.8530.30%27.21%27.03%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante)
Predicción 74.33%1.35momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -2.59%
Kelly -11.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.74%74.25%74.38%75.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.281.281.3081.97%78.25%78.13%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sho Shimabukuro (Local): 25.67%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante): 74.33%. Para Sho Shimabukuro (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.90. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.85, con un valor esperado de -1.19%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -1.19%E -0.309%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-14 12:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.15%EV -1.44%E -0.376%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.85%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.581%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 08:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.31%E -7.63%K -42.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -2.98%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 14:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 13:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 08:36 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 14:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 08:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 05:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 07:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 07:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 11:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 11:18 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 12:38 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 14:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29% | 1.6% | 2026-08-14 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10% | 2.4% | 2026-08-14 14:55 |