Langue:Français
Sho Shimabukuro v Hubert Hurkacz
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sho Shimabukuro (Local)
Prévision 25.67%3.90cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.309%
Kelly -0.417%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.30%25.75%25.62%28.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.683.703.8530.30%27.21%27.03%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur)
Prévision 74.33%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -2.59%
Kelly -11.22%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.74%74.25%74.38%75.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.281.281.3081.97%78.25%78.13%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sho Shimabukuro (Local) : 25.67% ; Hubert Hurkacz (Visiteur) : 74.33%. Pour Sho Shimabukuro (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.90. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.85, pour une espérance de -1.19% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -1.19%E -0.309%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-14 12:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.15%EV -1.44%E -0.376%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.85%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.581%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 08:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.31%E -7.63%K -42.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -2.98%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 14:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 13:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 08:36 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 14:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 08:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 05:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 07:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 07:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 11:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 11:18 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 12:38 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 14:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29% | 1.6% | 2026-08-14 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10% | 2.4% | 2026-08-14 14:55 |