StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Sho Shimabukuro v Hubert Hurkacz

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-14 15:13 UTC

Endstand: Sho Shimabukuro 0–2 Hubert Hurkacz

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Sho Shimabukuro (Heim)

Prognose 25.67%3.90faire Quote
EV -1.19%
Vorteil -0.309%
Kelly -0.417%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.30%25.75%25.62%28.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.303.683.703.8530.30%27.21%27.03%25.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Hubert Hurkacz (Auswärts)

Prognose 74.33%1.35faire Quote
EV -3.37%
Vorteil -2.59%
Kelly -11.22%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.74%74.25%74.38%75.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.221.281.281.3081.97%78.25%78.13%76.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Sho Shimabukuro (Heim): 25.67%; Hubert Hurkacz (Auswärts): 74.33%. Für Sho Shimabukuro (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.90. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 3.85, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.19%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -1.19%E -0.309%K -0.417%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-14 12:39
Pinnacle🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 25.15%EV -1.44%E -0.376%K -0.509%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.85%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 14:10
DraftKings🎯3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.581%K -0.788%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 08:29
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 12:15
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:55
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:55
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
Bally Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.31%E -7.63%K -42.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 11:14
Betclic (FR)🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -2.98%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 14:48
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 13:14
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 12:35
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 08:36
BetAnything🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 12:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 14:35
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 14:50
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 12:55
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:15
ReBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 14:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:15
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:14
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:14
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 08:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 08:44
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 08:45
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 14:29
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 11:55
GTbets🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 05:14
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:50
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 09:25
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 11:09
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:09
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:19
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 07:14
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 13:00
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 07:04
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 14:54
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 14:50
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 14:50
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 11:18
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 11:18
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 12:38
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-14 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-14 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-14 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-14 14:25
ProphetX◎4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29%1.6%2026-08-14 14:55
Novig◎3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%2.4%2026-08-14 14:55