Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sho Shimabukuro v Hubert Hurkacz

Início: 2026-08-14 15:13 UTC

Final: Sho Shimabukuro 0–2 Hubert Hurkacz

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sho Shimabukuro (Local)

Previsão 25.67%3.90odd justa
EV -1.19%
Vantagem -0.309%
Kelly -0.417%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.30%25.75%25.62%28.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.683.703.8530.30%27.21%27.03%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante)

Previsão 74.33%1.35odd justa
EV -3.37%
Vantagem -2.59%
Kelly -11.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.74%74.25%74.38%75.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.281.281.3081.97%78.25%78.13%76.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sho Shimabukuro (Local): 25.67%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante): 74.33%. Para Sho Shimabukuro (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.90. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.85, com valor esperado de -1.19%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -1.19%E -0.309%K -0.417%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-14 12:39
Pinnacle🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 25.15%EV -1.44%E -0.376%K -0.509%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.85%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 14:10
DraftKings🎯3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -2.21%E -0.581%K -0.788%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 08:29
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 12:15
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:55
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:55
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
Bally Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:54
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -2.47%E -0.650%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.31%E -7.63%K -42.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 11:14
Betclic (FR)🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -2.98%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 14:48
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 13:14
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 12:35
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 08:36
BetAnything🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 12:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 14:35
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 14:50
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 12:55
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:15
ReBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 14:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:15
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:14
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:14
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 08:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 08:44
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 08:45
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 14:29
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 11:55
GTbets🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 05:14
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:50
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 09:25
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.60%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.60%E -4.41%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 11:09
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:09
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:19
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 07:14
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 13:00
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 07:04
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.08%E -5.67%K -28.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 14:54
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 14:50
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.45%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 14:50
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 11:18
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.11%E -3.18%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 11:18
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.30%E -4.64%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.37%E -2.59%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 12:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-14 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-14 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-14 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-14 14:25
ProphetX◎4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29%1.6%2026-08-14 14:55
Novig◎3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%2.4%2026-08-14 14:55