Language:English
Quentin Halys v Alex de Minaur
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Quentin Halys (Local)
Prediction 31.05%3.22fair odd
EV +0.921%
Edge +0.283%
Kelly +0.409%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.04%31.01%31.19%33.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.053.2535.71%32.83%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alex de Minaur (Visit)
Prediction 68.95%1.45fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.983%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.59%68.99%68.81%70.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.381.4375.76%73.01%72.73%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Quentin Halys (Local): 31.05%; Alex de Minaur (Visit): 68.95%. For Quentin Halys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.921%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.921%E +0.283%K +0.409%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -0.632%E -0.197%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.632%E -0.197%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 19:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.632%E -0.197%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.942%E -0.295%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.942%E -0.295%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79%EV -1.56%E -0.493%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21%EV -2.78%E -1.97%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-15 17:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -1.56%E -0.493%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.47%E -2.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.18%E -0.693%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.16%E -3.00%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.18%E -0.693%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 14:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -2.49%E -0.795%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 16:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.99%E -6.81%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.05%EV -6.22%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.95%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:48 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 15:06 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.39%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.39%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.95%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.47%E -2.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.95%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 19:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.57%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.57%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -11.50%E -4.04%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.41%E -0.983%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 19:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.05%E -4.66%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.47%E -2.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 19:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70% | 2.5% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |