Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Quentin Halys v Alex de Minaur

Início: 2026-08-15 19:51 UTC

Final: Quentin Halys 1–2 Alex de Minaur

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Quentin Halys (Local)

Previsão 31.05%3.22odd justa
EV +0.921%
Vantagem +0.283%
Kelly +0.409%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.04%31.01%31.19%33.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.053.053.2535.71%32.83%32.79%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alex de Minaur (Visitante)

Previsão 68.95%1.45odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -0.983%
Kelly -3.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.59%68.99%68.81%70.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.371.381.4375.76%73.01%72.73%69.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Quentin Halys (Local): 31.05%; Alex de Minaur (Visitante): 68.95%. Para Quentin Halys (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.22. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.921%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.921%E +0.283%K +0.409%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 09:09
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -0.632%E -0.197%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 19:29
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.632%E -0.197%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 19:48
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.632%E -0.197%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.942%E -0.295%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.942%E -0.295%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 18:30
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79%EV -1.56%E -0.493%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21%EV -2.78%E -1.97%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 17:39
Pinnacle🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -1.56%E -0.493%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.47%E -2.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.18%E -0.693%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.16%E -3.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 19:49
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.18%E -0.693%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 14:09
SportsBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -2.49%E -0.795%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 19:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:04
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:00
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.99%E -6.81%K -28.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 12:05
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 19:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:40
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:40
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:38
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:49
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:49
ReBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:44
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:44
GTbets🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.05%EV -6.22%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.95%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 16:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:25
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 12:00
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 19:49
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:48
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 16:15
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 15:06
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 12:40
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:15
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:15
Fliff🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.39%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:00
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.39%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:00
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.95%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.47%E -2.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.95%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 19:48
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.57%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 19:29
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.57%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 19:25
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -11.50%E -4.04%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.41%E -0.983%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 19:34
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.05%E -4.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.47%E -2.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 19:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-15 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-15 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%1.7%2026-08-15 19:50
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%1.7%2026-08-15 19:50
Novig◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%2.5%2026-08-15 19:50
ProphetX◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%2.7%2026-08-15 19:50
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%3.7%2026-08-15 19:50