Idioma:Español
Quentin Halys v Alex de Minaur
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Quentin Halys (Local)
Predicción 31.05%3.22momio equitativo
EV +0.921%
Ventaja +0.283%
Kelly +0.409%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.04%31.01%31.19%33.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.053.053.2535.71%32.83%32.79%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alex de Minaur (Visitante)
Predicción 68.95%1.45momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.983%
Kelly -3.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.59%68.99%68.81%70.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.321.371.381.4375.76%73.01%72.73%69.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Quentin Halys (Local): 31.05%; Alex de Minaur (Visitante): 68.95%. Para Quentin Halys (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.22. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.921%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.921%E +0.283%K +0.409%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -0.632%E -0.197%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.632%E -0.197%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 19:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.632%E -0.197%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.942%E -0.295%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.942%E -0.295%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79%EV -1.56%E -0.493%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21%EV -2.78%E -1.97%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-15 17:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -1.56%E -0.493%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.47%E -2.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.18%E -0.693%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.16%E -3.00%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.18%E -0.693%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 14:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -2.49%E -0.795%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 16:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.99%E -6.81%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.05%EV -6.22%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.95%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:48 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 15:06 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.39%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.39%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.95%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.47%E -2.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.95%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 19:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.57%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.57%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -11.50%E -4.04%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.41%E -0.983%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 19:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.05%E -4.66%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.47%E -2.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 19:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70% | 2.5% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |