Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Quentin Halys v Alex de Minaur

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 19:51 UTC

Score final : Quentin Halys 1–2 Alex de Minaur

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Quentin Halys (Local)

Prévision 31.05%3.22cote équitable
EV +0.921%
Avantage +0.283%
Kelly +0.409%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.04%31.01%31.19%33.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.053.053.2535.71%32.83%32.79%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Alex de Minaur (Visiteur)

Prévision 68.95%1.45cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.983%
Kelly -3.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.59%68.99%68.81%70.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.321.371.381.4375.76%73.01%72.73%69.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Quentin Halys (Local) : 31.05% ; Alex de Minaur (Visiteur) : 68.95%. Pour Quentin Halys (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.22. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.25, soit une espérance positive de +0.921%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.921%E +0.283%K +0.409%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 09:09
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -0.632%E -0.197%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 19:29
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.632%E -0.197%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 19:48
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.632%E -0.197%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.942%E -0.295%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.942%E -0.295%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 18:30
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79%EV -1.56%E -0.493%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21%EV -2.78%E -1.97%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 17:39
Pinnacle🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -1.56%E -0.493%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.47%E -2.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.18%E -0.693%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.16%E -3.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 19:49
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.18%E -0.693%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 14:09
SportsBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -2.49%E -0.795%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 19:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:04
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:00
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.99%E -6.81%K -28.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 12:05
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 19:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:40
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:40
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:38
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:49
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:49
ReBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:44
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:44
GTbets🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.05%EV -6.22%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.95%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 16:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:25
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 12:00
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 19:49
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:48
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 16:15
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 15:06
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 12:40
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:15
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:15
Fliff🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.39%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:00
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.39%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:00
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.95%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.47%E -2.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.95%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 19:48
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.57%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 19:29
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.57%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 19:25
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -11.50%E -4.04%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.41%E -0.983%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 19:34
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.05%E -4.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.47%E -2.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 19:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-15 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-15 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%1.7%2026-08-15 19:50
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%1.7%2026-08-15 19:50
Novig◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%2.5%2026-08-15 19:50
ProphetX◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%2.7%2026-08-15 19:50
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%3.7%2026-08-15 19:50