StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Quentin Halys v Alex de Minaur

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-15 19:51 UTC

Endstand: Quentin Halys 1–2 Alex de Minaur

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Quentin Halys (Heim)

Prognose 31.05%3.22faire Quote
EV +0.921%
Vorteil +0.283%
Kelly +0.409%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.04%31.01%31.19%33.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.803.053.053.2535.71%32.83%32.79%30.77%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alex de Minaur (Auswärts)

Prognose 68.95%1.45faire Quote
EV -1.41%
Vorteil -0.983%
Kelly -3.27%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.43

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
66.59%68.99%68.81%70.96%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.321.371.381.4375.76%73.01%72.73%69.93%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Quentin Halys (Heim): 31.05%; Alex de Minaur (Auswärts): 68.95%. Für Quentin Halys (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.22. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.921%.

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.921%E +0.283%K +0.409%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 09:09
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -0.632%E -0.197%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 19:29
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.632%E -0.197%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 19:48
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.632%E -0.197%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.942%E -0.295%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.942%E -0.295%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 18:30
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79%EV -1.56%E -0.493%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21%EV -2.78%E -1.97%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 17:39
Pinnacle🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -1.56%E -0.493%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.47%E -2.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.18%E -0.693%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.16%E -3.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 19:49
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.18%E -0.693%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 14:09
SportsBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -2.49%E -0.795%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 19:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:04
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:00
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.74%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.99%E -6.81%K -28.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 12:05
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 19:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:40
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:40
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:38
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:49
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:49
ReBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.29%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:44
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:44
GTbets🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.05%EV -6.22%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.95%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 16:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:25
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 12:00
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.54%E -4.05%K -14.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 19:49
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:48
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 16:15
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 15:06
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 12:40
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:15
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:15
Fliff🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.84%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.30%E -6.24%K -25.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.39%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:00
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.39%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.85%E -3.52%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:00
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.95%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.47%E -2.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.95%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.92%E -5.13%K -19.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 19:48
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.57%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 19:29
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.57%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.23%E -4.58%K -17.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 19:25
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -11.50%E -4.04%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.41%E -0.983%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 19:34
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.05%E -4.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.47%E -2.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 19:34
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-15 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-15 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%1.7%2026-08-15 19:50
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%1.7%2026-08-15 19:50
Novig◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%2.5%2026-08-15 19:50
ProphetX◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%2.7%2026-08-15 19:50
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%3.7%2026-08-15 19:50