Language:English
Miomir Kecmanovic v Flavio Cobolli
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miomir Kecmanovic (Local)
Prediction 46.34%2.16fair odd
EV +3.33%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +2.71%
Growth +0.090%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.49%46.21%46.37%47.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.042.042.2350.51%49.05%49.02%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Flavio Cobolli (Visit)
Prediction 53.66%1.86fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.36%53.79%53.63%57.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.761.771.8260.98%56.80%56.50%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miomir Kecmanovic (Local): 46.34%; Flavio Cobolli (Visit): 53.66%. For Miomir Kecmanovic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +3.33%E +1.49%K +2.71%G +0.090% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -10.38%E -6.22%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV +2.86%E +1.29%K +2.35%G +0.067% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -11.99%E -7.31%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 05:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.70%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.70%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.48%E -2.51%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.70%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 15:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.87%E -1.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.62%E -1.74%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.94%E -2.20%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.94%E -2.20%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.94%E -2.20%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.55%E -3.15%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 06:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.55%E -3.15%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.55%E -3.15%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 15:02 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 14:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.62%E -3.81%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.62%E -3.81%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.77%E -5.16%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 06:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -11.45%E -6.94%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.40%E -3.17%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.94%E -2.20%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.33%E -1.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 14:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 14:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.48%E -2.51%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 13:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 07:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 06:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 06:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.62%E -3.81%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 06:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 21:53 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 14:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 14:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.26%E -4.17%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.48%E -2.51%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 07:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.26%E -4.17%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.48%E -2.51%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 07:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -8.26%E -4.17%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -8.77%E -5.16%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |