Langue:Français
Miomir Kecmanovic v Flavio Cobolli
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Miomir Kecmanovic (Local)
Prévision 46.34%2.16cote équitable
EV +3.33%
Avantage +1.49%
Kelly +2.71%
Croissance +0.090%
avec la cote maximale 2.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.49%46.21%46.37%47.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.982.042.042.2350.51%49.05%49.02%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Flavio Cobolli (Visiteur)
Prévision 53.66%1.86cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -2.84%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.36%53.79%53.63%57.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.641.761.771.8260.98%56.80%56.50%54.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Miomir Kecmanovic (Local) : 46.34% ; Flavio Cobolli (Visiteur) : 53.66%. Pour Miomir Kecmanovic (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.16. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.23, soit une espérance positive de +3.33%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +3.33%E +1.49%K +2.71%G +0.090% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -10.38%E -6.22%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV +2.86%E +1.29%K +2.35%G +0.067% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -11.99%E -7.31%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 05:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.70%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.70%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.48%E -2.51%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.70%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 15:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.87%E -1.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.62%E -1.74%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.94%E -2.20%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.94%E -2.20%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.94%E -2.20%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.55%E -3.15%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 06:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.55%E -3.15%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.55%E -3.15%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 15:02 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 14:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.62%E -3.81%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.62%E -3.81%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.77%E -5.16%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 06:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -11.45%E -6.94%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.40%E -3.17%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.94%E -2.20%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.33%E -1.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 14:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 14:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.48%E -2.51%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 13:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 07:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 06:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 06:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.62%E -3.81%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 06:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 21:53 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 14:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 14:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.26%E -4.17%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.48%E -2.51%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 07:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.26%E -4.17%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.48%E -2.51%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 07:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -8.26%E -4.17%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -8.77%E -5.16%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |