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Miomir Kecmanovic v Flavio Cobolli
Resultado del partido
Miomir Kecmanovic (Local)
Predicción 48.49%2.06momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -2.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.30%48.72%48.39%51.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.821.941.952.0154.95%51.62%51.28%49.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)
Predicción 51.51%1.94momio equitativo
EV +0.440%
Ventaja +0.225%
Kelly +0.463%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.28%51.28%51.61%52.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.731.841.831.9557.80%54.47%54.64%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Miomir Kecmanovic (Local): 48.49%; Flavio Cobolli (Visitante): 51.51%. Para Flavio Cobolli (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.94. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.95, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.440%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.29%E -5.56%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.440%E +0.225%K +0.463%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 08:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.29%E -5.56%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.440%E +0.225%K +0.463%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -11.74%E -6.45%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV +0.440%E +0.225%K +0.463%G +0.002% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 08:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.62%E -0.849%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 08:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.62%E -0.849%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.62%E -0.849%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.98%E -2.01%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.14%E -1.12%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 08:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46%EV -2.53%E -1.26%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54%EV -2.65%E -1.40%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-14 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.41%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.65%E -1.40%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 08:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.68%E -1.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 08:47 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.89%E -3.59%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.71%E -2.55%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 08:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -2.53%E -1.26%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -5.23%E -2.84%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 08:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.95%E -2.53%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.23%E -2.84%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 08:43 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.01%E -1.51%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 05:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.98%E -2.01%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 05:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.98%E -2.01%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 05:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.47%E -2.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 05:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.47%E -2.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 05:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.47%E -2.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 05:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.47%E -2.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 05:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.47%E -2.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 05:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.47%E -2.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 05:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.47%E -2.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 05:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.47%E -2.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 05:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.47%E -2.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 05:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.47%E -2.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 05:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.47%E -2.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 05:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.47%E -2.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 05:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 08:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.95%E -2.53%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.26%E -3.44%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 08:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.29%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 06:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.29%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 08:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.92%E -3.05%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.29%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 08:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.29%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 08:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.86%E -4.14%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.29%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 08:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.86%E -4.14%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.29%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 08:43 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -6.41%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -7.80%E -4.36%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 05:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -9.32%E -4.98%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 08:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -8.83%E -4.70%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -9.35%E -5.31%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 08:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.86%E -5.64%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.33%EV -9.80%E -5.27%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.67%EV -10.38%E -5.96%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-14 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.32%EV -10.29%E -5.56%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.89%E -6.30%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-14 08:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 07:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 08:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 08:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 08:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56% | 11.1% | 2026-08-14 08:45 |
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