默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miomir Kecmanovic v Flavio Cobolli

2026-08-15 15:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

49%

51%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miomir Kecmanovic (主队)

预测 48.60%2.06公平赔率

EV -2.31%

优势 -1.15%

Kelly -2.29%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.01

博彩公司预测分布

47.30%48.69%48.42%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.851.941.952.0154.05%51.50%51.28%49.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

Flavio Cobolli (客队)

预测 51.40%1.95公平赔率

EV -1.32%

优势 -0.685%

Kelly -1.43%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.92

博彩公司预测分布

50.00%51.31%51.58%52.70%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.731.831.831.9257.80%54.54%54.64%52.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Miomir Kecmanovic (主队)：48.60%；Flavio Cobolli (客队)：51.40%。对于“Flavio Cobolli (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.946。有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为1.950，由此产生+0.226%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (42 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
1xBet🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.29%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54%EV -2.86%E -1.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-08-14 08:45
GTbets🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.29%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -5.43%E -2.95%K -6.46%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-14 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.80%E -1.40%K -2.80%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-14 05:35
Coolbet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.77%E -1.90%K -3.85%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-14 08:49
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.77%E -1.90%K -3.85%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-14 05:09
Virgin Bet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.77%E -1.90%K -3.85%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-14 05:09
Unibet🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-14 05:09
TABtouch🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-14 05:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-14 05:10
BetRivers🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-14 05:10
Grosvenor🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-14 05:09
Casumo🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-14 05:09
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-14 05:09
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-14 05:09
ATG (SE)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-14 05:09
Svenska Spel🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-14 05:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-14 05:09
betPARX🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-14 05:10
Marathon Bet🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.74%E -2.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.43%E -2.95%K -6.46%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-14 08:43
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.74%E -2.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.46%E -3.55%K -7.87%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-14 08:39
Bovada🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-14 08:47
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-14 06:04
theScore Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-14 08:39
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.05%E -5.74%K -13.40%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-14 08:44
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.71%E -2.94%K -6.08%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-14 08:40
DraftKings🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.20%E -3.21%K -6.66%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.86%E -1.51%K -3.21%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-14 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -6.20%E -3.21%K -6.66%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -8.00%E -4.47%K -10.12%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-08-14 05:10
Betr (AU)🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.68%E -3.48%K -7.27%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-14 08:49
888sport🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.83%E -0.958%K -2.01%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-14 08:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.83%E -0.958%K -2.01%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-14 08:44
888sport (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.83%E -0.958%K -2.01%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-14 08:44
BoyleSports🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-14 08:45
LeoVegas🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-14 08:45
Bet Victor🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.66%E -4.03%K -8.51%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-14 08:43
betano_uk🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.66%E -4.03%K -8.51%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.35%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-14 08:43
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -8.63%E -4.59%K -9.81%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -9.54%E -5.42%K -12.55%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-08-14 08:39
ReBet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -9.11%E -4.87%K -10.48%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.03%E -5.10%K -11.72%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-08-14 08:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 48.33%EV -9.60%E -5.16%K -11.16%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 51.67%EV -10.57%E -6.07%K -14.28%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-08-14 08:40
Betway🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.09%E -5.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.226%E +0.116%K +0.238%G +0.001%	5.3%	2026-08-14 08:40
TAB🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.09%E -5.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.226%E +0.116%K +0.238%G +0.001%	5.3%	2026-08-14 08:44
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 48.32%EV -10.09%E -5.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -11.08%E -6.41%K -15.18%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-08-14 08:39
PlayUp🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -11.54%E -6.34%K -14.08%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV +0.226%E +0.116%K +0.238%G +0.001%	6.2%	2026-08-14 08:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
ProphetX◎	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%	3.8%	2026-08-14 07:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%	4.7%	2026-08-14 08:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%	4.7%	2026-08-14 08:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%	4.7%	2026-08-14 08:45
Novig◎	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%	1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%	7.9%	2026-08-14 08:45
Matchbook◎	1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%	1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%	11.1%	2026-08-14 08:45

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