Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miomir Kecmanovic v Flavio Cobolli

Início: 2026-08-15 15:06 UTC

Final: Miomir Kecmanovic 1–2 Flavio Cobolli

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miomir Kecmanovic (Local)

Previsão 46.34%2.16odd justa
EV +3.33%
Vantagem +1.49%
Kelly +2.71%
Crescimento +0.090%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.49%46.21%46.37%47.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.982.042.042.2350.51%49.05%49.02%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)

Previsão 53.66%1.86odd justa
EV -2.33%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -2.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.36%53.79%53.63%57.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.641.761.771.8260.98%56.80%56.50%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Miomir Kecmanovic (Local): 46.34%; Flavio Cobolli (Visitante): 53.66%. Para Miomir Kecmanovic (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.16. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.23, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.33%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +3.33%E +1.49%K +2.71%G +0.090%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -10.38%E -6.22%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 14:59
DraftKings🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV +2.86%E +1.29%K +2.35%G +0.067%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -11.99%E -7.31%K -18.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 15:04
GTbets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 05:44
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.70%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 15:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.70%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.48%E -2.51%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 14:59
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.70%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 15:03
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.87%E -1.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 15:05
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.62%E -1.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.94%E -2.20%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.94%E -2.20%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 14:19
BetAnything🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.94%E -2.20%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 14:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.55%E -3.15%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 06:50
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 14:19
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 14:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.55%E -3.15%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 15:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.55%E -3.15%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 15:02
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 14:58
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.62%E -3.81%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 15:00
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.62%E -3.81%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.77%E -5.16%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 06:54
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -11.45%E -6.94%K -17.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 15:04
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 14:45
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:04
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:04
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:04
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:04
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:04
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:05
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.48%E -2.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.40%E -3.17%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.94%E -2.20%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.33%E -1.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 14:19
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 14:30
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 14:53
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 14:45
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:54
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.48%E -2.51%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:20
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 07:05
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:55
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 18:43
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 06:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 06:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.62%E -3.81%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:05
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 15:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 15:05
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 06:58
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 21:53
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 14:44
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 14:44
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.33%E -3.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.26%E -4.17%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.48%E -2.51%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 07:04
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.26%E -4.17%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.48%E -2.51%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 07:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -8.26%E -4.17%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -8.77%E -5.16%K -12.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 15:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%0.1%2026-08-15 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-08-15 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-08-15 15:05
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-08-15 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-08-15 15:05
Novig◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-08-15 15:05