语言:简体中文
Mattia Bellucci v Jakub Mensik
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Mattia Bellucci (主队)
预测 25.42%3.93公平赔率
EV +0.912%
优势 +0.230%
Kelly +0.307%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 3.97
博彩公司预测分布
24.30%25.55%25.55%27.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.723.753.9729.41%26.88%26.67%25.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
Jakub Mensik (客队)
预测 74.58%1.34公平赔率
EV -3.04%
优势 -2.34%
Kelly -10.15%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.30
博彩公司预测分布
72.49%74.45%74.45%75.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.76%78.74%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Mattia Bellucci (主队)：25.42%；Jakub Mensik (客队)：74.58%。 对于“Mattia Bellucci (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.93。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.97，对应+0.912%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV +0.912%E +0.230%K +0.307%G +0.003% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.48%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV -0.359%E -0.092%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -3.04%E -2.34%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -0.868%E -0.222%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.868%E -0.222%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 06:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.10%EV -1.38%E -0.355%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.90%EV -3.04%E -2.34%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -1.38%E -0.355%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49%EV -6.03%E -4.78%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -1.88%E -0.488%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 14:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -1.88%E -0.488%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.14%E -0.555%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.14%E -0.555%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 14:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.01%E -7.39%K -40.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -3.92%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 14:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 15:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -4.93%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 18:13 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 16:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 16:22 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.26%E -6.72%K -35.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.03%E -4.78%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.04%E -2.34%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.31%E -3.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.04%E -2.34%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.03%E -4.78%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |