Язык:Русский
Mattia Bellucci v Jakub Mensik
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Mattia Bellucci (Хозяева)
Прогноз 25.42%3.93справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.912%
Преимущество +0.230%
Kelly +0.307%
Рост +0.003%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.97
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.30%25.55%25.55%27.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.723.753.9729.41%26.88%26.67%25.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Jakub Mensik (Гости)
Прогноз 74.58%1.34справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.04%
Преимущество -2.34%
Kelly -10.15%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
72.49%74.45%74.45%75.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.76%78.74%76.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Mattia Bellucci (Хозяева): 25.42%; Jakub Mensik (Гости): 74.58%. Для исхода «Mattia Bellucci (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.93. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.97, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.912%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV +0.912%E +0.230%K +0.307%G +0.003% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.48%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV -0.359%E -0.092%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -3.04%E -2.34%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -0.868%E -0.222%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.868%E -0.222%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 06:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.10%EV -1.38%E -0.355%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.90%EV -3.04%E -2.34%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -1.38%E -0.355%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49%EV -6.03%E -4.78%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -1.88%E -0.488%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 14:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -1.88%E -0.488%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.14%E -0.555%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.14%E -0.555%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 14:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.01%E -7.39%K -40.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -3.92%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 14:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 15:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -4.93%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 18:13 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 16:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 16:22 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.26%E -6.72%K -35.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.03%E -4.78%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.04%E -2.34%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.31%E -3.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.04%E -2.34%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.03%E -4.78%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |