StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mattia Bellucci v Jakub Mensik

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 18:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Mattia Bellucci 1–2 Jakub Mensik

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mattia Bellucci (Hemma)

Prognos 25.42%3.93rättvist odds
EV +0.912%
Fördel +0.230%
Kelly +0.307%
Tillväxt +0.003%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.97

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.30%25.55%25.55%27.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.723.753.9729.41%26.88%26.67%25.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Borta)

Prognos 74.58%1.34rättvist odds
EV -3.04%
Fördel -2.34%
Kelly -10.15%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
72.49%74.45%74.45%75.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.76%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Mattia Bellucci (Hemma): 25.42%; Jakub Mensik (Borta): 74.58%. För Mattia Bellucci (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.93. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.97, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.912%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV +0.912%E +0.230%K +0.307%G +0.003%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.48%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 16:20
1xBet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV -0.359%E -0.092%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -3.04%E -2.34%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 17:20
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -0.868%E -0.222%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 15:54
Winamax (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.868%E -0.222%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 06:59
GTbets🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 25.10%EV -1.38%E -0.355%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.90%EV -3.04%E -2.34%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 14:19
DraftKings🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -1.38%E -0.355%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49%EV -6.03%E -4.78%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 18:14
LowVig.ag🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -1.88%E -0.488%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -1.88%E -0.488%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 14:14
BetAnything🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.14%E -0.555%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 15:00
FanDuel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.14%E -0.555%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 14:09
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:09
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:09
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:09
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:10
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:10
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:09
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:10
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:09
Bally Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:09
NordicBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:14
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.01%E -7.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 14:15
SportsBet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -3.92%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 16:15
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 14:59
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 18:14
Unibet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 14:09
ReBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 15:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 14:59
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 14:55
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:14
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -4.93%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 18:13
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 17:00
Fanatics🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:09
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:10
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 08:44
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 16:22
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 16:22
Fliff🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.26%E -6.72%K -35.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 18:14
LeoVegas🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.03%E -4.78%K -23.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 18:15
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.04%E -2.34%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 16:15
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:00
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 14:55
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 16:15
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 16:15
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.31%E -3.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.04%E -2.34%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 17:24
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:43
Betclic (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.03%E -4.78%K -23.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 18:14
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-08-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-08-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-08-15 17:55
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-08-15 18:10
ProphetX◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-08-15 17:45
Novig◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%2.7%2026-08-15 17:30
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%3.3%2026-08-15 18:05