Language:English
Luciano Darderi v Rinky Hijikata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Prediction 60.30%1.66fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.30%60.25%61.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.571.571.6265.79%63.56%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rinky Hijikata (Visit)
Prediction 39.70%2.52fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.464%
Kelly -0.775%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.37%39.70%39.75%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.382.4944.44%42.14%42.02%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Luciano Darderi (Local): 60.30%; Rinky Hijikata (Visit): 39.70%. For Rinky Hijikata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.49, with an expected value of -1.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.31%E -1.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 07:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 05:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.55%E -0.626%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.55%E -0.626%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 20:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.55%E -0.626%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 20:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 20:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 20:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 20:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 20:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 07:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 07:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 20:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -6.32%E -2.68%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 11:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.12%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 19:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 06:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.90%E -3.41%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -1.15%E -0.464%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 17:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.32%E -2.68%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 20:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.74%E -5.06%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.74%E -5.06%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.34%E -5.49%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 19:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.34%E -5.49%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 20:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |