Lingua:Italiano
Luciano Darderi v Rinky Hijikata
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Luciano Darderi (Casa)
Previsione 60.30%1.66quota equa
EV -2.31%
Vantaggio -1.43%
Kelly -3.72%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.14%60.30%60.25%61.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.571.571.6265.79%63.56%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Rinky Hijikata (Trasferta)
Previsione 39.70%2.52quota equa
EV -1.15%
Vantaggio -0.464%
Kelly -0.775%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.49
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.37%39.70%39.75%41.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.372.382.4944.44%42.14%42.02%40.16%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Luciano Darderi (Casa): 60.30%; Rinky Hijikata (Trasferta): 39.70%. Per Rinky Hijikata (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.52. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.49, con un valore atteso del -1.15%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.31%E -1.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 07:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 05:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.55%E -0.626%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.55%E -0.626%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 20:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.55%E -0.626%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 20:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 20:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 20:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 20:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 20:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 07:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 07:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 20:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -6.32%E -2.68%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 11:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.12%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 19:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 06:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.90%E -3.41%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -1.15%E -0.464%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 17:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.32%E -2.68%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 20:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.74%E -5.06%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.74%E -5.06%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.34%E -5.49%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 19:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.34%E -5.49%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 20:28 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |