Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Luciano Darderi v Rinky Hijikata

Początek: 2026-08-15 20:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Luciano Darderi 0–2 Rinky Hijikata

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Luciano Darderi (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 60.30%1.66kurs godziwy
EV -2.31%
Przewaga -1.43%
Kelly -3.72%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.62

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.14%60.30%60.25%61.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.521.571.571.6265.79%63.56%63.69%61.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Rinky Hijikata (Goście)

Prognoza 39.70%2.52kurs godziwy
EV -1.15%
Przewaga -0.464%
Kelly -0.775%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.49

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.37%39.70%39.75%41.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.372.382.4944.44%42.14%42.02%40.16%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Luciano Darderi (Gospodarze): 60.30%; Rinky Hijikata (Goście): 39.70%. Dla wyniku Rinky Hijikata (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.52. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.49, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.15%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.31%E -1.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 07:05
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 18:05
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 05:24
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.55%E -0.626%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-15 19:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.55%E -0.626%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-15 20:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.55%E -0.626%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-15 20:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 20:19
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 20:15
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 20:14
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 20:24
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 18:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:19
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:29
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:24
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 07:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 07:25
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 20:24
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 20:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:25
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -6.32%E -2.68%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 11:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.12%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 19:54
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 09:19
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:00
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 09:19
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 09:20
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 09:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 09:20
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 09:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 09:19
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 09:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 09:19
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 09:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 09:20
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:09
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:09
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:20
Betsson🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:19
NordicBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:19
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 06:40
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 06:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 13:49
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 18:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.90%E -3.41%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 20:29
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -1.15%E -0.464%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 20:25
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 17:58
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.32%E -2.68%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 16:15
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 20:20
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.74%E -5.06%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 18:34
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.74%E -5.06%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 18:31
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.34%E -5.49%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 19:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.34%E -5.49%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 20:28
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-15 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-08-15 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-08-15 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-08-15 20:25
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-15 20:25
ProphetX◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-15 20:20
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-08-15 20:25