Langue:Français
Luciano Darderi v Rinky Hijikata
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Prévision 60.30%1.66cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -3.72%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%60.30%60.25%61.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.571.571.6265.79%63.56%63.69%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Rinky Hijikata (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.70%2.52cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.464%
Kelly -0.775%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.49
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.37%39.70%39.75%41.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.372.382.4944.44%42.14%42.02%40.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Luciano Darderi (Local) : 60.30% ; Rinky Hijikata (Visiteur) : 39.70%. Pour Rinky Hijikata (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.52. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.49, pour une espérance de -1.15% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.31%E -1.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 07:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 05:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.55%E -0.626%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.55%E -0.626%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 20:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.55%E -0.626%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 20:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 20:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 20:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 20:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 20:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 07:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 07:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 20:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -6.32%E -2.68%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 11:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.12%E -2.14%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 19:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 06:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.90%E -3.41%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -1.15%E -0.464%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 17:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.32%E -2.68%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 20:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.74%E -5.06%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.74%E -5.06%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.34%E -5.49%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.71%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 19:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.34%E -5.49%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 20:28 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |