Language:English
Flavio Cobolli v Arthur Fils
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Prediction 29.71%3.37fair odd
EV -0.475%
Edge -0.142%
Kelly -0.202%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.79%29.79%29.67%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.153.153.3535.71%31.73%31.80%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visit)
Prediction 70.29%1.42fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%70.21%70.33%71.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.61%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 29.71%; Arthur Fils (Visit): 70.29%. For Flavio Cobolli (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -0.475%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.475%E -0.142%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.36%EV -1.37%E -0.412%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.64%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-22 14:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.96%E -0.594%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 12:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.96%E -0.594%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 13:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.96%E -0.594%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV -2.26%E -0.686%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -2.30%E -1.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.15%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.15%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 01:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.28%EV -3.15%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.72%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 11:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 11:11 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -3.74%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.92%E -6.04%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 04:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 08:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.53%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 12:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.07%EV -6.71%E -2.14%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 09:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 04:12 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.03%EV -8.20%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.97%EV -2.30%E -1.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 07:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.59%E -1.14%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.82%E -6.01%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.59%E -1.14%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |