Idioma:Español
Flavio Cobolli v Arthur Fils
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Predicción 29.71%3.37momio equitativo
EV -0.475%
Ventaja -0.142%
Kelly -0.202%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.79%29.79%29.67%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.153.153.3535.71%31.73%31.80%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arthur Fils (Visitante)
Predicción 70.29%1.42momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -3.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.67%70.21%70.33%71.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.61%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 29.71%; Arthur Fils (Visitante): 70.29%. Para Flavio Cobolli (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.37. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.35, con un valor esperado de -0.475%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.475%E -0.142%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.36%EV -1.37%E -0.412%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.64%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-22 14:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.96%E -0.594%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 12:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.96%E -0.594%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 13:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.96%E -0.594%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV -2.26%E -0.686%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -2.30%E -1.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.15%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.15%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 01:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.28%EV -3.15%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.72%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 11:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 11:11 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -3.74%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.92%E -6.04%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 04:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 08:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.53%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 12:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.07%EV -6.71%E -2.14%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 09:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 04:12 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.03%EV -8.20%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.97%EV -2.30%E -1.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 07:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.59%E -1.14%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.82%E -6.01%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.59%E -1.14%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |