Langue:Français
Flavio Cobolli v Arthur Fils
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Prévision 29.71%3.37cote équitable
EV -0.475%
Avantage -0.142%
Kelly -0.202%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.79%29.79%29.67%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.153.153.3535.71%31.73%31.80%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visiteur)
Prévision 70.29%1.42cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -3.98%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.67%70.21%70.33%71.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.61%73.53%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Flavio Cobolli (Local) : 29.71% ; Arthur Fils (Visiteur) : 70.29%. Pour Flavio Cobolli (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.37. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.35, pour une espérance de -0.475% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.475%E -0.142%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.36%EV -1.37%E -0.412%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.64%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-22 14:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.96%E -0.594%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 12:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.96%E -0.594%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 13:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.96%E -0.594%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV -2.26%E -0.686%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -2.30%E -1.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.15%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.15%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 01:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.28%EV -3.15%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.72%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 11:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 11:11 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -3.74%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.92%E -6.04%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 04:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 08:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.53%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 12:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.07%EV -6.71%E -2.14%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 09:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 04:12 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.03%EV -8.20%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.97%EV -2.30%E -1.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 07:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 07:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.59%E -1.14%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.82%E -6.01%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.59%E -1.14%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |