StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Flavio Cobolli v Arthur Fils

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-22 17:30 UTC

Endstand: Flavio Cobolli 0–2 Arthur Fils

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Flavio Cobolli (Heim)

Prognose 29.71%3.37faire Quote
EV -0.475%
Vorteil -0.142%
Kelly -0.202%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.79%29.79%29.67%33.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.803.153.153.3535.71%31.73%31.80%29.85%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Fils (Auswärts)

Prognose 70.29%1.42faire Quote
EV -1.59%
Vorteil -1.14%
Kelly -3.98%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
66.67%70.21%70.33%71.21%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.61%73.53%71.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Flavio Cobolli (Heim): 29.71%; Arthur Fils (Auswärts): 70.29%. Für Flavio Cobolli (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.37. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 3.35, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.475%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.475%E -0.142%K -0.202%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 15:19
Pinnacle🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 29.36%EV -1.37%E -0.412%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.64%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 14:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.96%E -0.594%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.96%E -0.594%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 13:14
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.96%E -0.594%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 12:00
1xBet🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV -2.26%E -0.686%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -2.30%E -1.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.15%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 01:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.15%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 01:49
DraftKings🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.28%EV -3.15%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.72%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 11:30
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 13:15
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 11:11
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 15:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 11:59
SportsBet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -3.74%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.92%E -6.04%K -25.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:00
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 12:00
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 12:00
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 12:00
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 04:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 12:00
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 11:14
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 07:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 08:25
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 12:00
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.53%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 13:50
Fanatics🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 12:00
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 12:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 07:20
Fliff🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 11:15
ReBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.07%EV -6.71%E -2.14%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 14:34
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:49
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:49
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:49
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:50
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:50
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:49
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 09:59
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 09:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 09:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 12:00
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 07:20
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 07:20
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 04:12
GTbets🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.03%EV -8.20%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.97%EV -2.30%E -1.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 07:19
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 07:20
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 11:14
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 11:15
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.59%E -1.14%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 14:34
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.82%E -6.01%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.59%E -1.14%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 14:34
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-22 15:20
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-22 15:20
ProphetX◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-22 15:05
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%1.7%2026-08-22 15:05