Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Flavio Cobolli v Arthur Fils

Inizio: 2026-08-22 17:30 UTC

Finale: Flavio Cobolli 0–2 Arthur Fils

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Flavio Cobolli (Casa)

Previsione 29.71%3.37quota equa
EV -0.475%
Vantaggio -0.142%
Kelly -0.202%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.79%29.79%29.67%33.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.153.153.3535.71%31.73%31.80%29.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Arthur Fils (Trasferta)

Previsione 70.29%1.42quota equa
EV -1.59%
Vantaggio -1.14%
Kelly -3.98%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.67%70.21%70.33%71.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.61%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Flavio Cobolli (Casa): 29.71%; Arthur Fils (Trasferta): 70.29%. Per Flavio Cobolli (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.37. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.35, con un valore atteso del -0.475%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.475%E -0.142%K -0.202%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 15:19
Pinnacle🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 29.36%EV -1.37%E -0.412%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.64%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 14:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.96%E -0.594%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.96%E -0.594%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 13:14
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.96%E -0.594%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 12:00
1xBet🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV -2.26%E -0.686%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -2.30%E -1.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.15%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 01:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.15%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 01:49
DraftKings🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.28%EV -3.15%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.72%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 11:30
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 13:15
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 11:11
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 15:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 11:59
SportsBet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -3.74%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.92%E -6.04%K -25.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:00
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 12:00
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 12:00
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 12:00
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 04:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 12:00
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 11:14
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 07:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 08:25
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 12:00
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.53%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 13:50
Fanatics🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 12:00
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 12:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 07:20
Fliff🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.42%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 11:15
ReBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.07%EV -6.71%E -2.14%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 14:34
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:49
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:49
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:49
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:50
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:50
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 13:49
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 09:59
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 09:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 09:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 12:00
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 07:20
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 07:20
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 04:12
GTbets🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.03%EV -8.20%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.97%EV -2.30%E -1.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 07:19
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 07:20
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 11:14
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 11:15
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.59%E -1.14%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 14:34
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.82%E -6.01%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.59%E -1.14%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 14:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-22 15:20
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-22 15:20
ProphetX◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-08-22 15:05
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%1.7%2026-08-22 15:05