預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Daniel Altmaier v Lorenzo Musetti

開賽時間: 2026-08-16 17:33 UTC

最終賽果: Daniel Altmaier 0–2 Lorenzo Musetti

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

63 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Daniel Altmaier (主隊)

預測 23.12%4.33公平賠率
EV +1.73%
優勢 +0.393%
Kelly +0.509%
成長率 +0.009%

假設最高賠率為 4.40

博彩公司預測分布
21.99%23.21%23.08%25.93%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.604.004.004.4027.78%25.00%25.00%22.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Lorenzo Musetti (客隊)

預測 76.88%1.30公平賠率
EV -2.36%
優勢 -1.86%
Kelly -8.75%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.27

博彩公司預測分布
74.07%76.79%76.92%78.01%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.201.241.251.2783.33%80.58%80.00%78.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Daniel Altmaier (主隊):23.12%;Lorenzo Musetti (客隊):76.88%。 對於「Daniel Altmaier (主隊)」,該估計相當於4.33的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.40,對應+1.73%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (63 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.73%E +0.393%K +0.509%G +0.009%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 09:24
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.581%E -0.135%K -0.176%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 09:24
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.581%E -0.135%K -0.176%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 16:24
Pinnacle🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -2.66%E -0.632%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 17:30
GTbets🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 22.61%EV -2.66%E -0.632%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.39%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 14:55
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 16:22
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 11:40
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 09:49
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 09:55
Fanatics🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 17:29
SportsBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.82%E -0.918%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.82%E -0.918%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 17:04
Betclic (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:20
NordicBet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 17:30
Betsson🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 17:30
1xBet🎯4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -4.28%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -2.36%E -1.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 16:29
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 17:20
theScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 09:49
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 15:34
DraftKings🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:20
LeoVegas🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 15:25
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 15:25
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 08:54
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 08:54
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 08:54
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 08:54
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 14:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 22:14
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:35
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 00:20
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:26
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 01:19
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:25
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 00:19
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 00:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -9.37%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:24
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:25
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:24
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:24
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:24
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:25
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:24
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:24
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:24
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:24
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:24
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 15:34
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 15:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.36%E -1.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 08:24
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 23:24
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 23:24
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 15:40
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-08-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-08-16 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-08-16 16:15
Matchbook◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-08-16 16:15
ProphetX◎4.45I 22.47%NM 22.20%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.80%1.2%2026-08-16 17:30
Smarkets◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-08-16 17:25
Novig◎4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03%2.5%2026-08-16 17:30