Langue:Français
Daniel Altmaier v Lorenzo Musetti
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Daniel Altmaier (Local)
Prévision 23.12%4.33cote équitable
EV +1.73%
Avantage +0.393%
Kelly +0.509%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.99%23.21%23.08%25.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.004.004.4027.78%25.00%25.00%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur)
Prévision 76.88%1.30cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -8.75%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.07%76.79%76.92%78.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.241.251.2783.33%80.58%80.00%78.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Daniel Altmaier (Local) : 23.12% ; Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur) : 76.88%. Pour Daniel Altmaier (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.33. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.40, soit une espérance positive de +1.73%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.73%E +0.393%K +0.509%G +0.009% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 09:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.581%E -0.135%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.581%E -0.135%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -2.66%E -0.632%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.61%EV -2.66%E -0.632%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.39%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 16:22 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 09:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.82%E -0.918%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.82%E -0.918%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -4.28%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -2.36%E -1.86%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 22:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 00:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 01:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 00:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -9.37%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.36%E -1.86%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 23:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 23:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 15:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.45I 22.47%NM 22.20% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.80% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03% | 2.5% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |