Sprache:Deutsch
Daniel Altmaier v Lorenzo Musetti
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Daniel Altmaier (Heim)
Prognose 23.12%4.33faire Quote
EV +1.73%
Vorteil +0.393%
Kelly +0.509%
Wachstum +0.009%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.40
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.99%23.21%23.08%25.93%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.604.004.004.4027.78%25.00%25.00%22.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Auswärts)
Prognose 76.88%1.30faire Quote
EV -2.36%
Vorteil -1.86%
Kelly -8.75%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.27
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
74.07%76.79%76.92%78.01%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.201.241.251.2783.33%80.58%80.00%78.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Daniel Altmaier (Heim): 23.12%; Lorenzo Musetti (Auswärts): 76.88%. Für Daniel Altmaier (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.33. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.40 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.73%.
Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.73%E +0.393%K +0.509%G +0.009% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 09:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.581%E -0.135%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.581%E -0.135%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -2.66%E -0.632%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.61%EV -2.66%E -0.632%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.39%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 16:22 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 09:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.82%E -0.918%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.82%E -0.918%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -4.28%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -2.36%E -1.86%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 22:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 00:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 01:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 00:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -9.37%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.36%E -1.86%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 23:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 23:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 15:40 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.45I 22.47%NM 22.20% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.80% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03% | 2.5% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |