Idioma:Português
Daniel Altmaier v Lorenzo Musetti
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Daniel Altmaier (Local)
Previsão 23.12%4.33odd justa
EV +1.73%
Vantagem +0.393%
Kelly +0.509%
Crescimento +0.009%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.99%23.21%23.08%25.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.604.004.004.4027.78%25.00%25.00%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante)
Previsão 76.88%1.30odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -1.86%
Kelly -8.75%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.07%76.79%76.92%78.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.201.241.251.2783.33%80.58%80.00%78.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Daniel Altmaier (Local): 23.12%; Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante): 76.88%. Para Daniel Altmaier (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.33. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.73%.
Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.73%E +0.393%K +0.509%G +0.009% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 09:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.581%E -0.135%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.581%E -0.135%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -2.66%E -0.632%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.61%EV -2.66%E -0.632%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.39%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 16:22 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 09:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.82%E -0.918%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.82%E -0.918%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -4.28%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -2.36%E -1.86%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 22:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 00:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 01:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 00:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -9.37%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.36%E -1.86%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 23:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 23:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 15:40 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.45I 22.47%NM 22.20% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.80% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03% | 2.5% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |