Język:Polski
Daniel Altmaier v Lorenzo Musetti
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Daniel Altmaier (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 23.12%4.33kurs godziwy
EV +1.73%
Przewaga +0.393%
Kelly +0.509%
Wzrost +0.009%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.40
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.99%23.21%23.08%25.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.604.004.004.4027.78%25.00%25.00%22.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Lorenzo Musetti (Goście)
Prognoza 76.88%1.30kurs godziwy
EV -2.36%
Przewaga -1.86%
Kelly -8.75%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.27
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
74.07%76.79%76.92%78.01%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.241.251.2783.33%80.58%80.00%78.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Daniel Altmaier (Gospodarze): 23.12%; Lorenzo Musetti (Goście): 76.88%. Dla wyniku Daniel Altmaier (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.33. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.40, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.73%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.73%E +0.393%K +0.509%G +0.009% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 09:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.581%E -0.135%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.581%E -0.135%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -2.66%E -0.632%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.61%EV -2.66%E -0.632%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.39%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 16:22 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 09:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.82%E -0.918%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.82%E -0.918%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -4.28%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -2.36%E -1.86%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 22:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 00:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 01:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 00:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -9.37%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.36%E -1.86%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 23:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 23:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 15:40 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.45I 22.47%NM 22.20% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.80% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03% | 2.5% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |