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Daniel Altmaier v Lorenzo Musetti
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Daniel Altmaier (Хозяева)
Прогноз 23.12%4.33справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.73%
Преимущество +0.393%
Kelly +0.509%
Рост +0.009%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.99%23.21%23.08%25.93%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.004.004.4027.78%25.00%25.00%22.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Lorenzo Musetti (Гости)
Прогноз 76.88%1.30справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.36%
Преимущество -1.86%
Kelly -8.75%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.27
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
74.07%76.79%76.92%78.01%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.201.241.251.2783.33%80.58%80.00%78.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Daniel Altmaier (Хозяева): 23.12%; Lorenzo Musetti (Гости): 76.88%. Для исхода «Daniel Altmaier (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.33. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.40, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.73%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.73%E +0.393%K +0.509%G +0.009% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 09:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.581%E -0.135%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.581%E -0.135%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -2.66%E -0.632%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.61%EV -2.66%E -0.632%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.39%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 16:22 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 09:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.82%E -0.918%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.82%E -0.918%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 17:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -4.28%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -2.36%E -1.86%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.44%E -4.42%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 22:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 00:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 01:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 00:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -9.37%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.90%E -3.12%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.36%E -1.86%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.67%E -3.77%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 23:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.21%E -5.09%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 23:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.13%E -2.49%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 15:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.45I 22.47%NM 22.20% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.80% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03% | 2.5% | 2026-08-16 17:30 |