Language:English
Arthur Rinderknech v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arthur Rinderknech (Local)
Prediction 60.87%1.64fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.858%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%61.05%60.81%63.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.24%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit)
Prediction 39.13%2.56fair odd
EV +2.91%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.78%38.95%39.19%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.402.402.6344.44%41.62%41.67%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Rinderknech (Local): 60.87%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit): 39.13%. For Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV +2.91%E +1.11%K +1.79%G +0.052% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV +2.91%E +1.11%K +1.79%G +0.052% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.221%E -0.087%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.18%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.18%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.18%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -2.57%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.61%E -1.63%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.22%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 01:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.31%E -2.19%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 01:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.22%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 01:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 01:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 01:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 01:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 01:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 01:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 01:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 16:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.48%E -2.71%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -7.66%E -3.24%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.48%E -4.92%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 22:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.69%E -5.80%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 16:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.39%E -0.858%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 01:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |