Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arthur Rinderknech v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

2026-08-16 15:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arthur Rinderknech (Local)

Prediction 61.69%1.62fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -4.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.80%61.68%61.63%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.531.531.5868.03%65.29%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit)

Prediction 38.31%2.61fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.757%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%38.32%38.37%40.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.472.502.5642.55%40.51%40.00%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arthur Rinderknech (Local): 61.69%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit): 38.31%. For Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.56, with an expected value of -1.94%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.52%E -1.60%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 12:09
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -1.94%E -0.757%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-15 09:29
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.32%E -0.910%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 09:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.09%E -1.22%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 11:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.09%E -1.22%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 11:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.32%E -0.910%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 13:24
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.32%E -0.910%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 13:20
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.32%E -0.910%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 09:45
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.37%E -2.82%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 06:45
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.37%E -2.82%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 06:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.37%E -2.82%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 06:44
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.32%E -0.910%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 09:44
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 06:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 13:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 13:24
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 06:44
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:44
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:44
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:44
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:44
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:45
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:45
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:44
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:43
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:44
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:55
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:41
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 09:24
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 06:45
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 06:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 06:44
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 09:25
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:26
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 06:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.22%E -4.09%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -6.92%E -2.85%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -8.45%E -3.54%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 06:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -6.92%E -2.85%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 06:44
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 09:38
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 10:45
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 09:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 12:29
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.07%E -5.42%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 09:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 06:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-08-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-08-15 11:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-08-15 11:35
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%3.8%2026-08-15 12:55
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%4.7%2026-08-15 13:40
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 61.10%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.90%9.8%2026-08-15 13:40

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