Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Arthur Rinderknech v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Początek: 2026-08-16 16:47 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Arthur Rinderknech 1–2 Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Arthur Rinderknech (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 60.87%1.64kurs godziwy
EV -1.39%
Przewaga -0.858%
Kelly -2.24%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.62

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.14%61.05%60.81%63.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.24%64.10%61.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Goście)

Prognoza 39.13%2.56kurs godziwy
EV +2.91%
Przewaga +1.11%
Kelly +1.79%
Wzrost +0.052%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.63

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.78%38.95%39.19%41.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.402.402.6344.44%41.62%41.67%38.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Arthur Rinderknech (Gospodarze): 60.87%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Goście): 39.13%. Dla wyniku Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.56. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.63, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.91%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV +2.91%E +1.11%K +1.79%G +0.052%3.4%2026-08-16 16:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV +2.91%E +1.11%K +1.79%G +0.052%3.4%2026-08-16 16:44
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.221%E -0.087%K -0.142%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.18%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.18%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 16:25
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.18%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 16:29
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -2.57%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:44
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.61%E -1.63%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 16:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.22%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 01:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 16:44
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.31%E -2.19%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 01:34
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.22%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 16:43
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 01:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 01:34
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:34
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:34
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:34
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:44
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:20
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:44
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:44
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:44
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 16:10
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:26
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.48%E -2.71%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:09
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:49
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 16:14
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:44
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:50
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 16:15
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 16:24
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -7.66%E -3.24%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 01:35
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:00
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:09
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 01:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.48%E -4.92%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 22:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.69%E -5.80%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 16:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.39%E -0.858%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 01:35
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 01:35
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 01:34
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 16:44
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-08-16 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-08-16 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-08-16 16:45
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-16 16:45
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-16 16:45
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-08-16 16:45
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-08-16 16:45