Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arthur Rinderknech v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

2026-08-16 15:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

62%

38%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arthur Rinderknech (Local)

Predicción 61.69%1.62momio equitativo

EV -2.52%

Ventaja -1.60%

Kelly -4.35%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

59.80%61.68%61.63%62.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.471.531.531.5868.03%65.30%65.36%63.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante)

Predicción 38.31%2.61momio equitativo

EV -1.94%

Ventaja -0.757%

Kelly -1.24%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

37.03%38.32%38.37%40.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.352.472.502.5642.55%40.51%40.00%39.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Arthur Rinderknech (Local): 61.69%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante): 38.31%. Para Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.61. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.56, con un valor esperado de -1.94%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
PlayUp🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.52%E -1.60%K -4.35%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-15 12:09
1xBet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -1.94%E -0.757%K -1.24%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-15 09:29
Coolbet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.32%E -0.910%K -1.50%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-15 14:44
LowVig.ag🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.09%E -1.22%K -2.02%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-15 11:34
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.09%E -1.22%K -2.02%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-15 11:34
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.71%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.32%E -0.910%K -1.50%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-15 13:24
BetAnything🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.71%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.32%E -0.910%K -1.50%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-15 13:20
Pinnacle🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.71%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.32%E -0.910%K -1.50%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-15 09:45
Betway🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.37%E -2.82%K -7.95%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-15 06:45
Neds🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.37%E -2.82%K -7.95%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-15 06:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.37%E -2.82%K -7.95%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-15 06:44
Bovada🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.24%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.32%E -0.910%K -1.50%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-15 09:44
DraftKings🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.24%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-15 06:44
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.24%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-15 13:24
GTbets🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-15 06:44
Unibet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 06:44
BetRivers🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 06:44
William Hill🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 06:44
TABtouch🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 06:44
Grosvenor🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 06:45
Casumo🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 06:45
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 06:45
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 06:45
888sport🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 09:39
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 06:44
Virgin Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 06:44
betPARX🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 06:43
888sport (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 06:44
Bally Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 06:45
Svenska Spel🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 06:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 09:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 06:55
betfred_uk🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 09:41
Fanatics🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-15 09:24
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-15 06:45
Coral🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-15 06:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-15 06:44
theScore Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-15 09:25
Caesars🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-15 10:26
BoyleSports🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.61%E -3.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-15 06:45
Betr (AU)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.22%E -4.09%K -11.97%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-15 14:39
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.22%E -4.09%K -11.97%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -6.92%E -2.85%K -4.84%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-15 11:39
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.41%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -8.45%E -3.54%K -6.08%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-15 09:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-15 06:44
PMU (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -6.92%E -2.85%K -4.84%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-15 06:44
Bet Victor🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-15 09:38
LeoVegas🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-15 10:45
betano_uk🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-15 09:39
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-08-15 12:29
ReBet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.07%E -5.42%K -16.48%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-08-15 09:24
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.24%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-15 06:45

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%	2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%	0.5%	2026-08-15 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%	2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%	0.5%	2026-08-15 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%	2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%	0.5%	2026-08-15 14:30
Matchbook◎	1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%	2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%	1.3%	2026-08-15 14:30
Novig◎	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%	1.6%	2026-08-15 14:40
ProphetX◎	1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%	2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%	1.6%	2026-08-15 14:25

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