StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Arthur Rinderknech v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-16 16:47 UTC

Endstand: Arthur Rinderknech 1–2 Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Arthur Rinderknech (Heim)

Prognose 60.87%1.64faire Quote
EV -1.39%
Vorteil -0.858%
Kelly -2.24%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.62

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.14%61.05%60.81%63.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.24%64.10%61.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Auswärts)

Prognose 39.13%2.56faire Quote
EV +2.91%
Vorteil +1.11%
Kelly +1.79%
Wachstum +0.052%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.63

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.78%38.95%39.19%41.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.252.402.402.6344.44%41.62%41.67%38.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Arthur Rinderknech (Heim): 60.87%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Auswärts): 39.13%. Für Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.56. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.63 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.91%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV +2.91%E +1.11%K +1.79%G +0.052%3.4%2026-08-16 16:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV +2.91%E +1.11%K +1.79%G +0.052%3.4%2026-08-16 16:44
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.221%E -0.087%K -0.142%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.18%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.18%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 16:25
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.18%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 16:29
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -2.57%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:44
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.61%E -1.63%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 16:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.22%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 01:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 16:44
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.31%E -2.19%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 01:34
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.22%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 16:43
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 01:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 01:34
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:34
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:34
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:34
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:44
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:20
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:44
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:44
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:44
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 16:10
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:26
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.48%E -2.71%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:09
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:49
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 16:14
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:44
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:50
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 16:15
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 16:24
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -7.66%E -3.24%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 01:35
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:00
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:09
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 01:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.48%E -4.92%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 22:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.69%E -5.80%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 16:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.39%E -0.858%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 01:35
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 01:35
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 01:34
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 16:44
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-08-16 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-08-16 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-08-16 16:45
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-16 16:45
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-16 16:45
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-08-16 16:45
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-08-16 16:45