StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Arthur Rinderknech v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 16:47 UTC

Slutresultat: Arthur Rinderknech 1–2 Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Arthur Rinderknech (Hemma)

Prognos 60.87%1.64rättvist odds
EV -1.39%
Fördel -0.858%
Kelly -2.24%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.62

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.14%61.05%60.81%63.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.24%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Borta)

Prognos 39.13%2.56rättvist odds
EV +2.91%
Fördel +1.11%
Kelly +1.79%
Tillväxt +0.052%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.63

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.78%38.95%39.19%41.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.252.402.402.6344.44%41.62%41.67%38.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Arthur Rinderknech (Hemma): 60.87%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Borta): 39.13%. För Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.56. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.63, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.91%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV +2.91%E +1.11%K +1.79%G +0.052%3.4%2026-08-16 16:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV +2.91%E +1.11%K +1.79%G +0.052%3.4%2026-08-16 16:44
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.221%E -0.087%K -0.142%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.18%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.18%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 16:25
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.18%E -0.871%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 16:29
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -2.57%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:44
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.61%E -1.63%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.35%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 16:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.22%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 01:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 16:44
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.13%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.31%E -2.19%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 01:34
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.22%E -2.02%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 16:43
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 01:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 01:34
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:34
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:34
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:34
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:44
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.04%E -3.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:35
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:20
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:44
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:44
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:44
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 16:10
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:26
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.48%E -2.71%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:09
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:49
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 16:14
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:44
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:50
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 16:15
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 16:24
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -7.66%E -3.24%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 01:35
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:00
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:09
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.26%E -4.06%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 01:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.48%E -4.92%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 22:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.69%E -5.80%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.05%E -3.42%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 16:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.39%E -0.858%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 01:35
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 01:35
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.43%E -2.82%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 01:34
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 16:44
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-08-16 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-08-16 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-08-16 16:45
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-16 16:45
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-16 16:45
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-08-16 16:45
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-08-16 16:45