Language:English
Andrey Rublev v Nuno Borges
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Prediction 62.71%1.59fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.984%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.95%62.84%62.65%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.521.5769.44%66.05%65.79%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nuno Borges (Visit)
Prediction 37.29%2.68fair odd
EV +2.17%
Edge +0.793%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 2.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%37.16%37.35%39.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.502.7441.67%39.41%40.00%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andrey Rublev (Local): 62.71%; Nuno Borges (Visit): 37.29%. For Nuno Borges (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +2.17%E +0.793%K +1.25%G +0.027% | 3.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +2.17%E +0.793%K +1.25%G +0.027% | 3.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +0.682%E +0.253%K +0.401%G +0.003% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 14:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +0.682%E +0.253%K +0.401%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -1.18%E -0.446%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.446%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 14:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.18%E -0.446%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.878%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.878%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 14:18 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -4.17%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -5.28%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -5.28%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.66%E -2.24%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -6.03%E -2.39%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -6.40%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 14:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 11:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 12:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 11:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 11:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 11:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 09:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.54%E -0.984%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 09:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 14:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 14:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |