Idioma:Español
Andrey Rublev v Nuno Borges
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Predicción 62.71%1.59momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.984%
Kelly -2.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.95%62.84%62.65%65.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.521.5769.44%66.05%65.79%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nuno Borges (Visitante)
Predicción 37.29%2.68momio equitativo
EV +2.17%
Ventaja +0.793%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.94%37.16%37.35%39.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.542.502.7441.67%39.41%40.00%36.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Andrey Rublev (Local): 62.71%; Nuno Borges (Visitante): 37.29%. Para Nuno Borges (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.68. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.74, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.17%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +2.17%E +0.793%K +1.25%G +0.027% | 3.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +2.17%E +0.793%K +1.25%G +0.027% | 3.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +0.682%E +0.253%K +0.401%G +0.003% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 14:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +0.682%E +0.253%K +0.401%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -1.18%E -0.446%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.446%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 14:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.18%E -0.446%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.878%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.878%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 14:18 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -4.17%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -5.28%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -5.28%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.66%E -2.24%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -6.03%E -2.39%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -6.40%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 14:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 11:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 12:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 11:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 11:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 11:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 09:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.54%E -0.984%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 09:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 14:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 14:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |