StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Andrey Rublev v Nuno Borges

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-18 15:11 UTC

Endstand: Andrey Rublev 0–2 Nuno Borges

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Andrey Rublev (Heim)

Prognose 62.71%1.59faire Quote
EV -1.54%
Vorteil -0.984%
Kelly -2.71%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.57

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
60.95%62.84%62.65%65.06%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.441.511.521.5769.44%66.05%65.79%63.69%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Nuno Borges (Auswärts)

Prognose 37.29%2.68faire Quote
EV +2.17%
Vorteil +0.793%
Kelly +1.25%
Wachstum +0.027%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.74

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.94%37.16%37.35%39.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.402.542.502.7441.67%39.41%40.00%36.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Andrey Rublev (Heim): 62.71%; Nuno Borges (Auswärts): 37.29%. Für Nuno Borges (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.68. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.74 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.17%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +2.17%E +0.793%K +1.25%G +0.027%3.2%2026-08-18 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +2.17%E +0.793%K +1.25%G +0.027%3.2%2026-08-18 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +0.682%E +0.253%K +0.401%G +0.003%3.7%2026-08-18 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +0.682%E +0.253%K +0.401%G +0.003%6.0%2026-08-18 14:50
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -1.18%E -0.446%K -0.717%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 14:45
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.446%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 14:44
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.18%E -0.446%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 14:50
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.878%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.878%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-18 14:55
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 14:55
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 14:18
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 14:40
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -4.17%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:55
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 14:55
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -5.28%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -5.28%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.66%E -2.24%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -6.03%E -2.39%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 14:30
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -6.40%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 14:55
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 14:20
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 14:19
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 11:35
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 12:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 14:20
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 11:35
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 11:35
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 11:35
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 13:35
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 09:44
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.54%E -0.984%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 09:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 13:20
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 14:50
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-18 14:18
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-18 14:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-18 14:55
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-18 14:55
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-18 14:55
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-08-18 14:55