Langue:Français
Andrey Rublev v Nuno Borges
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Prévision 62.71%1.59cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.984%
Kelly -2.71%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.95%62.84%62.65%65.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.521.5769.44%66.05%65.79%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Nuno Borges (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.29%2.68cote équitable
EV +2.17%
Avantage +0.793%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.027%
avec la cote maximale 2.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.94%37.16%37.35%39.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.542.502.7441.67%39.41%40.00%36.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Andrey Rublev (Local) : 62.71% ; Nuno Borges (Visiteur) : 37.29%. Pour Nuno Borges (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.68. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.74, soit une espérance positive de +2.17%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +2.17%E +0.793%K +1.25%G +0.027% | 3.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +2.17%E +0.793%K +1.25%G +0.027% | 3.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +0.682%E +0.253%K +0.401%G +0.003% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 14:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +0.682%E +0.253%K +0.401%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -1.18%E -0.446%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.446%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 14:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.18%E -0.446%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.878%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.878%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 14:18 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -4.17%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -5.28%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -5.28%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.66%E -2.24%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -6.03%E -2.39%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -6.40%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 14:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 11:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 12:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 11:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 11:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 11:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 13:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 09:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.54%E -0.984%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 09:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 14:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 14:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |